灌溉排水学报

2019, v.38(S1) 116-118

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海伦市用水现状与2020年需水预测
Current Situation of Water Use in Hailun City and Forecasted Water Demand in 2020

苏豪;杜崇;
SU Hao;DU Chong;Institute of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Heilongjiang University;

摘要(Abstract):

【目的】预测城市的生活、工业、农业用水的需水,对城市的规划、经济发展以及供水系统的管理及扩建提供可靠依据。【方法】使用水平衡分析法及线性回归分析和大量的数据运算,通过线性回归分析现状年及2013—2017年用水量分析了海伦市用水现状并预测了2020年需水量。【结果】2020年海伦市城镇居民生活用水为774.66万m~3,农村居民生活用水量为1 622.32万m~3,2020年海伦市工业需水量为0.061亿m~3,2020年海伦市农业需水总量为3.64亿m~3。【结论】预测年2020年供水量大于需水量。
【Objective】In order to forecast the water demand for urban life, industry and agriculture, and to provide reliable basis for urban planning, economic development, management and expansion of water supply system.【Method】Using water balance analysis, linear regression analysis and a large number of data operations, the predicted annual water demand of Helen city was obtained through linear regression analysis of the current year and the water consumption in 2013—2017, so as to know whether the predicted annual water supply and demand are balanced. The prediction of water demand completed ahead of schedule provides reliable help for economic development and the construction of a water-saving society.【Result】The domestic water consumption of urban residents in Helen city in 2020 was 7.746 6 million cubic meters, that of rural residents was 16.232 million cubic meters, that of industrial water consumption in Helen city in 2020 was 06.1 million cubic meters, and that of agricultural water consumption was 364 million cubic meters.【Conclusion】The predicted annual water supply is greater than the water demand.

关键词(KeyWords): 需水预测;水平衡分析法;线性回归方程;海伦市
water demand forecast;water balance analysis;linear-regression analysis;Hailun city

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作者(Author): 苏豪;杜崇;
SU Hao;DU Chong;Institute of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Heilongjiang University;

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